This paper analyzes a large data base containing over 18,000 women micro finance clients of the Negros Women for Tomorrow Foundation (NWTF). The data base contains a powerful new poverty impact assessment tool - the Progress Out of Poverty (PPl) Scorecard. The focus of the data analysis performed in this paper was the observable characteristics of actual borrowers and how those factors influence changes in that client's PPI Scorecard Poverty Score. The conclusion of this paper is that micro finance is working in the fight against poverty in the Philippines (average change in poverty score for the population is 28.51 %) but that a small subset of the population sees dramatically greater results. Specifically, clients that receive larger loans from a successful lending branch and employ their loans in non-agriculture/non-fishing industries see on average much greater gains then the rest of the population. Results of the data analysis suggest that the NWTF employs a suboptimal lending strategy. Sixty-six borrowers received abnormally large loans; average loans size for this subset of the population is $63,780 Filipino pesos. On average, these borrowers saw a 55.86% change in pscore. Regression results upon this population yield insignificant results for initial poverty score and years as a client of the NWTF. Loan size among this population has a positive coefficient similar in size to the larger population regression results. The other 17,937 clients of the NWTF received on average a loan $10,205 pesos and saw a 25.63% change in pscore (both sig. at [alpha] =.0I level). Policy suggestions are given in the concluding chapter.
The 21rst century will be marked by an ever increasing urban world. Projections predict this trend to be largest for developing nations in which formal housing markets are inefficient at meeting the increasing demand for urban housing. This unmet housing demand will continue to exacerbate the housing crisis and necessitate sustainable solutions. Past policies of slum clearance, modernist apartment projects, housing provision, self-help, sites and services, and in-situ upgrading have not been effective at solving the crisis. This thesis considers the central role that architectural elements plays in slum housing communities. Considering architectural elements in addition to the conventional elements of financing mechanisms and land tenure augments an understanding of what a successful housing project is. Analyzing six successful international slum housing projects for both conventional and architectural elements, this thesis highlights the importance of vernacular architecture as a determinant of a successful project. Appropriate, vernacular architecture will best serve the beneficiary community's built environment needs and lead to sustainable housing solutions. Central in this process is the inclusion of slum communities in the design process of housing projects.
This study analyzes the market, cost, and income valuation methods used in the healthcare industry. There are problems with the current valuation methods, especially the valuation of health care assets used in the cost approach, the exclusion of demographics, which would aid in the market valuation approach, and the difficulty of projecting revenues when smaller companies merge with larger public healthcare organizations in the income approach. Two hundred and thirty-five individual hospitals in the states of Florida and Colorado along with 14 public hospital corporations spanning the country were examined to produce the results of the study. The results of the regression analysis show that demographics play a large role in a hospital's potential earnings base. This study provides information that will help analysts develop a more complete and accurate valuation of healthcare companies.
The gravity equation is one of the most empirically successful tools to model international capital flows. However, technological developments and globalization have brought into question the significance of the distance aspect of the model. Contagion theory offers an avenue for developing the gravity equation and capturing some of the lost effect of distance. Therefore, this study will show that contagion theory is an effective instrument to improve the gravity model. To do this, the study will utilize international capital flows between the United States and various emerging markets from Latin America and Asia. This study will also employ principle component analysis and a random effect model for regression analysis. The results suggest that contagion theory provides a valuable improvement over the existing gravity equation.
Despite their prominent place in financial theory and practice, the Capital Asset Pricing Model and beta have failed test after test to explain stock returns. Research by John Y. Campbell and Tuomo Vuolteenaho in "Bad Beta, Good Beta" cite the misspecification of beta as the reason for this failure. They measure beta as the sum of two components: a more influential "cash-flow" beta and a secondary "discount-rate" beta. This thesis creates a ratio between the overall beta of a stock and the cash-flow beta and uses an ordinary least squares regression model to determine its significance in interpreting overall returns to a stock. It hypothesizes that this ratio will better explain returns than overall beta alone, offering improvements for both investors and financial managers alike.
Water scarcity presents an obstacle to economic development in the western United States. In an attempt to accommodate the increasing levels of demand that population growth, recreation, industry, and environmental protection place on water supplies, western states frequently establish markets for water. Water markets promote efficient allocation, helping states to derive the highest possible economic benefit from available resources, and allowing western water supplies to support as much new development and population growth as possible. However, imperfect pricing information for water threatens the ability of water markets to efficiently allocate water. Correct valuation improves water right allocation by aiding market participants in negotiating and completing sensible transactions despite the limited availability of price signals. This project will estimate the values market participants place on shares of ditch company water rights in Colorado's South Platte basin. Based on observed market activity, the hedonic will method will be used to estimate the implicit value consumers place on each characteristic of a water right, and the contribution of each characteristic to the water right's price. The dataset analyzed in this project includes price, quantity, reliability, location, and type of use information for 254 transfers of ditch company shares. Because these data are proprietary and difficult to collect, this dataset represents one of the most comprehensive collections of water transaction information in existence for Colorado's South Platte basin. It is predicted that the ordinary least squares estimation of the hedonic price model developed in this project will reveal that reliable water supplies located near municipalities attract higher prices than variable water supplies situated downstream from cities. In addition, economies of scale and water price appreciation are predicted to exist in the South Platte basin.
An online social network is a venue on the internet designed for interactions among members of a community. Hundreds of millions of people across the world engage in social networking to connect with each other making this relatively new practice a significant part of our lives. This year online social network membership is expected to include 50% of internet using adults and 84% of internet using teenagers. This study compares several factors relating to the two sectors of the online social networking industry, which are niche and generic websites. The analysis of these factors is used to conduct a five forces analysis on the industry. The analysis attempts to determine the competitive environment, the current state of the industry and where it might be heading. It was found that users of niche networks showed much higher levels of loyalty meaning switching costs for niche users were higher than for generic users. Niche users also showed much higher levels of engagement than generic users, which potentially will generate higher levels of profits as social networking grows. The five forces analysis concluded that the industry is an attractive one to enter if the entrant pursues a niche strategy, can cope with strong supplier forces, and can effectively build a large as well as highly engaged member base, thus generating very high traffic and profits.
This study was inspired by the recent trend in the National Basketball Association (NBA) of teams signing seemingly mediocre players to abnormally large contracts. The purpose of this study was to identify if there were in fact other player characteristics that NBA teams looked for other than pure basketball ability when signing players. 284 NBA players and their salaries during the 2006-2007 were collected along with twenty other independent variables. Obviously players' salary was the single dependent variable. Data and analysis comprised a regression test to determine the relationship between these twenty independent variables and salaries. The regression test revealed a relationship between age and athleticism to salaries. A player's contract year approximate value to his team and scoring ability proved to have a strong relationship with salaries as well. Surprisingly, no player characteristic related to efficiency had any relationship to salaries.
With over two million people living with HIV/AIDS in India and no current widely available cure; India is at an important stage in its fight against the AIDS epidemic. The most effective and efficient method to slow the spread of AIDS is to target the people most likely to become infected with the disease via AIDS prevention campaigns. Using data from the National Family and Health Surveys (NFHS-3), this paper analyzes the socioeconomic correlates of wealth and education; of basic and advanced AIDS knowledge between a group of high AIDS prevalent states and a group of low AIDS prevalent states in India. Results from probit analysis present that there is concern for basic and advanced knowledge among lower educated and poorer individuals. The results also suggest that there are significant differences of basic and advanced knowledge between high and low AIDS prevalent states. AIDS prevention policy recommendations are to increase AIDS awareness by targeting lower educated and poor individuals at the state level.
The National Basketball Association (NBA) is one of the four largest professional sports organizations in the United States. There are currently 23 teams in the NBA that gathered over $100 million in revenue during the 2007-08 season alone. This study examines the components of total NBA franchise revenues and investigates the effect that multiple losing seasons has on total revenue performance. A fixed-effects regression analysis is used to examine the effect of multiple losing seasons on total NBA franchise revenue. All the statistics and data observed in this study are from the 10 year period of 1999 to 2008. The findings in this study provide valuable information to NBA teams as to whether losing consecutive seasons affects total revenue performance.
This thesis explores the role of mentorship in entrepreneurial ventures. With staggering failure rates of entrepreneurial firms, the study of the determinants of success and failure of entrepreneurs is abundant. Among the key determinants of success are the factors comprising the human capital of entrepreneurs. Using models and theories based on corporate mentorship, this thesis bridges the gap between the study of entrepreneurial human capital and mentorship. Relying on seventeen interviews with a variety of entrepreneurs from around the country, this thesis identifies the significance placed on mentorship, reveals the models these relationships can take, and identifies the primary benefits of mentorship among entrepreneurs.
This study provides a theoretical analysis and empirical investigation of China's reliance on net exports to grow its gross domestic product (GDP), and current efforts to shift towards a more private domestic consumption driven economy. Using data from 1975 to present and analyzing numerous past research done on similar topics regarding China's GDP expenditures and net export driven developing countries, suggestions supporting private domestic consumption as the most efficient GDP expenditure variable to sustaining long term growth are made.
The exact motivations for a 'green' and/or stakeholder approach to business are often unclear, though many view these approaches as beneficial to business over the long-term. This study specifically examines the incentives that stock market investors provide for companies to adopt an environmental program or environmentally friendly practices within their business. It also addresses the possible motivations that those companies might give investors in return. Voluntary company participants of the Environmental Protection Agency's 33/50 Program are used in econometric regressions that analyze both stock price and earnings per share changes before and after the program was began, from 1987 to 2007. After controlling for firm-specific and market variables, the stock price data concludes that investors do value the 33/50 program over the long-run. To address the efficient markets hypothesis, a time period analysis is performed. It does not find significant over- or underreaction evidence, but instead shows greater overall price increases over time with lower predictability. Whether or not the investors should have valued the 33/50 program, as would be indicated by long-run earnings growth, is largely inconclusive.
Since the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) has been such a debatable topic for the past 15 years of it's implementation, previous research has been conducted on this topic. However, most of this research ignores the positive effects that this agreement may have caused. The purpose of this thesis is to examine an industry that has experienced positive changes induced by NAFTA. The positive changes are expected to have occurred using expectations from classical international trade theory. Based off of these theories, the hypothesis is that in an industry that has experienced an increase in net exports, employment will have increased as well. This thesis examines the cattle industry in Colorado, which has seen a net increase in exports of beef products as a direct result of NAFTA. A qualitative research method was used, interviewing cattle ranchers in Colorado to gather data on the changes that have occurred since NAFTA. Results from data show that NAFTA has caused employment in this industry to remain stable over the NAFTA years. Also concluded from the data is that international trade models do not explain enough, resulting in expectations that do not capture the entire dynamics of free trade and globalization.
This study attempts to explain the determinants of NFL franchise revenue generation. Seven variables will be examined and tested in order to determine which of those variables have the most significant effect on revenue. Data were collected from the 2000 through 2005 regular seasons. Regression analyses were used to analyze the data. The results of this study were that ticket price, attendance, and television deals all have a large positive effect on NFL franchise revenue generation.
A previous study suggests NFL teams are inefficient in their draft decisions. Additionally, previous studies find the NFL Combine to be a predictor of draft position but not a predictor of NFL performance. This has led some to question the overall usefulness of the Combine. The focus of this study is to determine if the NFL Combine has a positive informational value to decisions made in the NFL Draft. From an alternative perspective, this study suggests the Combine is only used to identify the best available players in a specific position for a specific year. Therefore the Combine's informative value to the NFL is its ability to act as a signal, by separating prospects in specific positions into groups based on characteristics that indicate their perceived value. A Spearman Rank Correlation is utilized to evaluate this hypothesis. Combine performance is found to significantly relate to draft round for Running Backs, Linebackers, and Defensive Backs. Alternatively, collegiate performance relates to draft round for Running Backs, Wide Receivers, Tight Ends, Defensive Ends, and Linebackers. For these positions, with the exception of Running Backs and Linebackers, collegiate performance appears to act as a signal instead of Combine performance. The Combine can be considered a signal only for Running Backs, Linebackers, and Defensive Backs. Therefore there is evidence of signaling within the NFL Draft for six of the eight skill positions observed. Further, evidence from this study suggests the additional information from the Combine has a positive value when it has an influence on draft decisions. Therefore the Combine appears to have a positive informational value, but further research is necessary.
The aim of this study is to examine National Hockey League (NHL) player production during contract years. The term contract year refers to the last year of a player's contract. The hypothesis is that players perform better during their contract year in hopes of receiving a higher salary on their next contract (through free agency). The other hypothesis is that players will perform worse in the first year of their new contract because there is a decrease in incentive. In studying player production, this thesis uses nine independent variables believed to explain the dependent variable points per game. Data was collected for every forward during the 2007-2008 NHL season. All in all, data for 416 players was gathered. Regression analysis was performed for these 416 players. Of the four models tested, five independent variables were found to be significant. Both salary and nationality-Europe were found to have a positive impact on points per game. Year in league, first year, and age were all found to negatively affect points per game. The independent variable last year, which is the variable that this thesis concerns, was found to be statistically insignificant.
The era of monetary targeting ignited research into the area of interest rate response to money supply announcements. During the 1980s and 1990s, research focused in this area; however, there is been a lack of updated research. This study examines the updated response of interest rates to unanticipated changes in Ml money supply announcements for the sample period 1985 to 2005. The crucial ideas behind this hypothesis include money demand, money supply, expectations, and the role the Federal Reserve plays in the interaction of the three. Data was taken from the Federal Reserves statistical and historical data release for weekly M1 money supply measures and for daily interest rates of treasury securities. The results revealed an inability of the presented model to capture the relationship between money supply announcements and interest rates; leading to the conclusion of a mis-specified model.
Economies of scale can be used as a tool for measuring efficiency. The wholesale pharmaceutical industry recently received regulations mandating pharmaceutical wholesalers provide a pedigree to document the flow of pharmaceutical products through the pharmaceutical supply chain. Each wholesaler had to create a new system for generating these pedigrees. Economies of scale was used to decide which wholesaler was best suited to implement a pedigree program. The largest wholesalers could not move quick enough to match pedigree deadlines while smaller companies struggled financially to afford a new pedigree program. It was found that midsized companies had the appropriate balance between quantity of products sold and overall business size.
The recent deregulation in the financial industry in both the EU and U.S. has sparked a wave of mergers within each region and country. Furthermore, the increase in globalization and international integration has been encouraging banks to expand across borders. This study provides an analysis of EU, U.S., and Inter U.S. - EU bank mergers during the period 2002 - 2005. The hypothesis is that recent inter U.S. - EU bank mergers provide positive shareholder wealth creation around the announcement date and increase efficiency (measured via return on assets) post-merger.
In 2008, the World Health Organization's Intergovernmental Working Group (IGWG) released a global strategy and plan of action for boosting R&D of medicines for neglected diseases predominantly found in developing countries. Among other recommendations, the report advocates and prioritizes the promotion of local R&D capacity in developing countries as a solution to the absence of pharmaceutical drug innovation. In response to the primary assumption underlying the IGWG proposal, that innovation is a positive determinant of public health, the purpose of this study is to investigate the socioeconomic determinants of public health in developing countries as well as introduce innovative capacity as a potential factor influencing the level of health. This study will test whether public health is a function of innovative capacity using a cross-country regression that incorporates known determinants of public health. Fifty-nine developing countries are included in the sample, two different measures of public health are used, and nine independent variables are tested. A total of four regression models are used to explain the relationships between the variables. Innovative capacity is quantified in two different ways in order to increase the accuracy of the measure. Ultimately, the results of the study show that democracy, number of physicians, sanitation, infrastructure, and one of the measures of innovative capacity are statistically significant determinants of public health in developing countries. The conclusions of this study provides perspective on the IGWG proposal and enriches the discussion about what socioeconomic factors are most important to develop in order to achieve increased public health in developing countries.
For many years the National Hockey League was struggling to bring fans to their games. Due to such low attendance and salary caps, the National Hockey League decided to have a lockout in 2004-2005 which was the first ever season ending lockout in any sport. Since the lockout, attendance in the NHL slowly started to increase. This thesis looks at what factors affect attendance in the NHL since the lockout. Attendance was low before the lockout, but after the lockout attendance started to increase more and more every year. This thesis tests for what the NHL is doing right since the lockout so that they can continue to increase their attendance ratings even more. The research was taken from NHL.com, Versus. com, and ESPN.com. Data was found for all thirty NHL teams. A regression was used to test the data with the dependent variable being attendance. The independent variables are; goals scored, total points, winning percent, competitive balance, location, all-stars, games played, play-offs, weekend games, minor penalty minutes, and major penalty minutes. The regression found that four variables were significant in affecting attendance. These four variables were goals scored, location, minor penalty minutes, and major penalty minutes. This thesis proves that there are other factors besides game factors that affect attendance; however, the four game factors that affect attendance go along with the new rule changes that the NHL created after the lockout proving that the NHL is doing some of the right things to increase attendance in the NHL.
This study aims to determine the best possible option for the United States to reduce the number of disposable plastic carrier bags consumed each year. First an evaluation of the economic and environmental implications associated with disposable carrier bag use is discussed to justify the research question. An analysis of global plastic bag regulation is used to demonstrate strategies that can be pursued in the United States. Several initiatives have been introduced by city and state governments within the United States. to control plastic bag consumption. These examples are analyzed and discussed Retailers including Whole Foods, Wal-Mart, and IKEA have also chosen to voluntarily reduce the number of plastic bags used in their stores. The results of these voluntary initiatives are examined in case studies. Two surveys were conducted to compliment the qualitative analysis in this report with quantitative statistics used to predict plastic bag consumption. The results of this analysis indicates that the United States should balance voluntary reductions with legislative actions.
Consumer behavior revolves around individuals' ability to gather and assess all the visual information provided by the product in order to decide whether or not to purchase that product. Traditionally consumers' wine purchasing decisions have been viewed as a function of three variables: brand, region of origin, and price. However in the past decade, societies around the world have become more aware of their impacts on their surrounding environments and as a result a new kind of consumer has emerged. The eco-consumer, when given the choice, will prefer to use/consume a product that was produced with minimal or no effect on the environment. This thesis aims to explain individuals' wine purchasing decisions, and specifically examines whether consumers' wine choices are not just a function of brand, region of origin, and price, but are also influenced by an organic designation.
This thesis examines how different forms of participation impact the job satisfaction of blue-collar workers. By examining previous literature, satisfaction has shown to be beneficial for both the worker and the employer, but limited research has been done in the blue-collar sector of the workforce. Six types of participation were analyzed including: participation in work decisions, consultative participation, informal participation, short-term participation, representative participation, and employee ownership. In order to analyze these types of participation, four companies were used to interview twenty blue-collar employees. A qualitative approach was used to discover what employees thought about participation and satisfaction within their own companies, and participants were encouraged to tell stories of past experiences to exemplify their responses. Results suggested that informal participation, consultative participation and emotional attachment have the most impact on blue-collar employee satisfaction.