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    NHL and the NCAA : how decisions to attend National Collegiate Athletic Association institutions affect National Hockey League playing probabilities by Stoykewych, Peter Justin

    This paper will focus on three questions. Is the National Hockey League draft a good indicator of a drafted players probability of playing in the National hockey league? Does the relative position a player is selected in the NHL draft influence a player’s decision to attend an NCAA school? And finally, for those players that choose to attend an NCAA Division 1 hockey program, does it change their probability of playing in the National Hockey League? Three models have been created to answer these questions. The results suggest the draft is a good indicator of playing in the NHL, that draft position does have an influence on player’s decision to attend college and that playing in the NCAA will slightly reduce the negative probability of playing in the NHL.