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CAMPAIGN SPENDING ON ELECTION OUTCOMES

by Shin, Junnor

Abstract

The goal of this study is to analyze the effects of campaign spending on the percentage of votes received for a candidate and the election outcome. This is achieved through correlating independent variables specifying the candidate’s spending, candidate’s characteristics, and state’s characteristics on the dependent variable of either vote percentage for a candidate or wins and losses. Using Tobit regression analysis, for every $1 dollar increase in campaign spending, the vote percentage received will increase by 6.77×10^-7. Using Probit regression analysis, for every $1 dollar increase in campaign spending the probability of winning increases by 5.12×10^-8. Other variables such as the incumbent status of a candidate, celebrity status, party affiliation, scandals, percentage of registered voters in the candidate’s party, state partisanship, state unemployment, and state population were included in the study to further analyze other factors determining the percentage of votes received and ultimately, the election outcome.

Note

The author has given permission for this work to be deposited in the Digital Archive of Colorado College.

Colorado College Honor Code upheld.

Includes bibliographical references.

Administrative Notes

The author has given permission for this work to be deposited in the Digital Archive of Colorado College.

Colorado College Honor Code upheld.

Copyright
Copyright restrictions apply.
Publisher
Colorado College Tutt Library
PID
coccc:27340
Digital Origin
born digital
Extent
47 pages
Thesis
Senior Thesis -- Colorado College
Thesis Advisor
Daniel Johnson
Department/Program
Economics and Business
Degree Name
Bachelor of Arts
Degree Type
bachelor
Degree Grantor
Colorado College Tutt Library
Date Issued
2017-05