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Including cash-flow risk in stock return analysis

by West, Janet

Abstract

Despite their prominent place in financial theory and practice, the Capital Asset Pricing Model and beta have failed test after test to explain stock returns. Research by John Y. Campbell and Tuomo Vuolteenaho in "Bad Beta, Good Beta" cite the misspecification of beta as the reason for this failure. They measure beta as the sum of two components: a more influential "cash-flow" beta and a secondary "discount-rate" beta. This thesis creates a ratio between the overall beta of a stock and the cash-flow beta and uses an ordinary least squares regression model to determine its significance in interpreting overall returns to a stock. It hypothesizes that this ratio will better explain returns than overall beta alone, offering improvements for both investors and financial managers alike.

Note

Bibliography : p. 63-65

bachelor

Bachelor of Arts

Administrative Notes
Copyright
Copyright restrictions apply. Contact the author for permission to publish.
Publisher
None
PID
coccc:1345
Digital Origin
reformatted digital
Extent
65 p. : ill. ; 29 cm.
Thesis
Senior Thesis -- Colorado College
Degree Name
Degree Type
Date Issued
2009